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A warning to markets over the exit poll

A warning to markets over the exit poll Sterling traders could be at risk of getting ahead of themselves if they respond too aggressively to tonight’s exit poll, which may be less precise than in recent years, leading academics have warned. Overconfidence in the exit poll, due to be released at 10pm London time, may lead to dramatic fluctuations later in the evening as election results are declared, warned David Firth, the Warwick University statistician who, along with Sir John Curtice of Str

Congo voting data reveal huge fraud in poll to replace Kabila

Martin Fayulu was the clear winner of the Democratic Republic of Congo’s presidential elections last month, a Financial Times analysis of two separate collections of voting data shows, contradicting claims from authorities that rival contender Felix Tshisekedi had won the historic vote. The analysis points to huge fraud in the first change of power since Joseph Kabila took over the presidency of the mineral-rich central African nation almost 18 years ago. It is likely to embolden critics of Mr

German nursing home market: Five things every new entrant should know

The German nursing homes market looks ripe for consolidation – 15,000 homes are run by 6,000 providers, but the market is heavily regulated. This is what every investor or operator looking at the market ought know according to Hermann Thiel, CEO of healthcare real estate consultancy Terranus. There is huge scope for consolidation Public providers cover 5% of the market, 35-40% is covered by private providers, and the sizeable remainder, 55-60%, is provided by charity-based and religious non-pr

How does the exit poll work?

The exit poll, released by TV broadcasters at 10pm on the dot, is the major set-piece event of the evening. Andrew Garthwaite, an FT statistical journalist, has compiled a guide on what to expect: The designers of the exit poll credit its repeated success with the access the field workers have to information: they are asking voters who have already made a decision to tell them what they have just done. “In three of the last four general elections...

Masters in management data highlights gender pay gap

Delving into the data gathered for masters in management rankings over the past decade underscores the inequality in pay between male and female alumni three years after graduation — but it also highlights some surprises. Other data show the most popular and lucrative careers for alumni and what happens to graduates’ incomes when they move abroad. Three years after graduating with a masters in management, the median salary for men is higher than that for women in every sector of employment. W

Online MBA proves to be a shot in the arm for physician’s career

“And I was like, ‘An MBA? But that’s not for doctors!’ And he said, ‘Precisely’.” Pelayo de Merlo, 39, recalls the night five years ago, when his husband-to-be startled him out of complacency. While working as an anaesthesiologist, Mr De Merlo enrolled on an online MBA with IE Business School in Spain. Three years after graduation, he became the managing director of Quirònsalud Hospital, Madrid. Mr De Merlo’s medical career was thriving, but he felt that something was amiss. “I didn’t see much

Open for Business

We’ve expanded our Autocare scheme with the opening of a new workshop in Boston, Lincolnshire. The new vehicle maintenance workshop opened at Boston delivery office last month and is equipped with a dedicated MOT service area. Boston is now one of 72 in-house MOT facilities across the country. We have almost doubled our MOT capability in recent times as part of our drive towards greater commercialisation of the business. Fleet technician Paul Hartnett is excited by the new range of commercial work being carried out at the site. ‘It’s brilliant for our apprenticeships,’ he says. ‘You’ve got to make them interested, and apparently we’re doing a good job at that.’

Significance magazine - Visualising the pandemic: interviews with data journalists covering Covid-19 | Significance magazine

In many parts of the world, the outcome of the Covid-19 outbreak has a lot to do with the choices people make about social distancing and obeying restrictions, as well as choices about their own personal care, such as maintaining a more thorough approach to handwashing or, more controversially, when it is appropriate to wear a mask. Those decisions will be influenced by each individual’s knowledge and beliefs, which – in turn – are shaped by the information they receive from government, from hea

Two more headaches for health operators looking at China

Breaking into the Chinese healthcare market is notoriously difficult for foreigners. It usually requires lengthy relationship cultivation or strong local partners to front up any deal – often both. One expert well grounded in introducing foreign investors to the market tells Healthcare Nova things are about to get even harder. We hear that without an official announcement, government officials have effectively put health provider feasibility studies on hold. Our source tells us: “We were doing

Voters left in the dark over money behind online election ads

Political campaign groups with no obvious affiliation to any of the UK’s main parties have bought thousands of Facebook ads in the first month of the general election campaign, in a digital battle for votes that transparency campaigners warn is too opaque to be adequately monitored. According to Financial Times analysis, these non-party groups, sometimes referred to as shadow campaigns, have spent more than half a million pounds on ads with Facebook and its subsidiary Instagram, as well as other online networks such as Google and Snapchat.

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'Adapt or die': Newsrooms amid COVID-19 pandemic - World News Publishing Focus by WAN-IFRA

Editor and consultant John Crowley shares initial results from a survey investigating how journalists are coping with COVID-19, and what the news sector might look like once the pandemic is over. The advent of COVID-19 “may well get journalism to shed a lot of old skin and proceed remade in the future”. That is one of many impassioned responses I’ve received to a global survey of journalists to assess how they are coping with lockdown. Working from home, being furloughed and having to deal wit

'Something Is Going Wrong': 11 People Give Their Views On The Growing Homelessness Problem

Rising rough sleeping is a major concern, people in Birmingham have told HuffPost UK, as they shared their experiences of seeing an increase in homelessness in the city centre. Local Jonny Betteridge said he had walked past five homeless people “in as many metres” as people shared their reactions as part of HuffPost Listens, a project to go out in the city and listen to people.

'The Life Changing Event That Will Never Happen To You Until It Does': A Stroke Survivor Wants You To Know This Before It’s Too Late

For more than 30 years, Martin Warrillow worked as a journalist for the Birmingham Mail and Birmingham Post. Then, two weeks after losing a major freelance contract editing a magazine, Warrillow’s legs buckled. He was having a stroke, in the street, at the age of 49; as he collapsed, he missed falling under a bus by “literally two inches”. Today, he runs the blog and podcast Ask The Warrior as a stroke awareness speaker.

'The News Has Skipped Us': 18 People Give Their Frank Thoughts On The State Of British Media

The national media has “skipped” Birmingham and most of the coverage of the area is relentlessly negative, according to people HuffPost spoke to in the UK’s second biggest city. Local views on topics like Brexit are overlooked by the London-focused media, they said, while the newspapers, internet and broadcast media could not always be trusted to tell “the truth” without “agenda”.

3 ways to make data visualisations and interactives work on mobile

Speaking at newsrewired in London yesterday (8 February), Martin Stabe, head of interactive news at The Financial Times, and Colleen McEnaney, graphics editor at The Wall Street Journal, shared some advice for making sure data visualisations work on mobile. Less is more • Make sure all information is available so that the narrative makes sense. • The point of the visualisation has to be clearly illustrated. If you start to feel your visualisation is becoming too cluttered, check if you are addi

7 tips for getting started as a freelance journalist

Many journalists decide to go freelance for the freedom the position can offer – you can choose your own stories and working hours, and the ability to work from anywhere you want is certainly an attraction. But having to constantly pitch story ideas to editors and to seek funding for projects can be challenging. Being a freelancer also means that often you are working alone, without the support network that news organisations can offer to full-time staff. Check out this advice from freelance r

Caliphate children: what awaits them after IS*

Caliphate children: what awaits them after IS* The terrorist organization "Islamic State" (IS, earlier ISIL) (banned in Russia by the court), which managed to capture significant territories of Iraq and Syria in 2014-2016, since its appearance, had actively attracted militants from many countries, including Russia. In its heyday, the strength of the grouping exceeded 30,000 fighters , two-thirds of them being foreigners . Among militants from Russia, who went to fight for the IS*, many were fro

Community Report: Looking Back on April 2018

Hello everyone. Here's a monthly update about what the NewsFrames community has been up to for the past month or so… we've been busy! This will likely be one of the last updates before the project goes on hiatus in early June (more here and here), as we think about how to launch the next state of NewsFrames. If you have any questions about what will happen with NewsFrames after the end of May, there are details at the end of this blog post about a series of hangouts being planned this month whe

Distributed Newsroom Playbook

The concept of the “newsroom” is one that conjures images of huddles of desks bustling with reporters, editors and producers working to cover the day’s events in real-time, surrounded by TV screens flashing breaking updates and the latest analytics. With the start of social distancing policies as a response to the COVID-19 crisis, newsrooms have quickly had to reconfigure as distributed, digital spaces. We are going to be working within distributed frameworks for a significant amount of time, f

Dying Homeless: Counting the deaths of homeless people across the UK

The number of people sleeping rough rose by 169% between 2010 and 2017. During the bitter cold of the 2017-2018 winter, some deaths made headlines, including that of a man who died close to the Palace of Westminster. Despite many vulnerable people being known to the authorities, local journalists and charities were often the only ones that reported these deaths. The Bureau spoke to councils, hospitals, coroners' offices, police forces and NGOs. While there is a charitable network recording in

How are journalists dealing with email overload in modern newsrooms?

Journalists in modern newsrooms risk succumbing to “anxiety and exhaustion” because of the need to monitor the “seemingly endless sources of potential sources” now available to them. That is the view of Sally Warren, a Fleet Street journalist turned psychotherapist, on the pressure journalists feel to process emails, tweets, push notifications and more. I interviewed Warren, a former colleague of mine at The Daily Telegraph, as part of a project for the European Journalism Centre (EJC). Colle

HuffPost experiments with 'listening circles' in Birmingham to go beyond the London bubble

One of the reasons why the public increasingly mistrusts the media is that journalists are spending less time outside of their London offices, losing touch with what interests, inspires and bothers people outside the capital. To see whether local reporting can bring the media and their audiences closer together, HuffPost made a bold move and transferred its entire newsroom of 45 reporters and editors to Birmingham as part of the ‘HuffPost Listens’ project. “We wanted to get outside the London

HuffPost Listens: Why We've Moved Our Entire Newsroom To Birmingham For A Week

Journalism is about telling stories. I became a journalist because I loved the feeling of discovering something and sharing that with people - making them laugh, cry, or enraging them about an injustice to the point that they just had to do something about it. And the question people ask me most about journalism is this: how is news made? How do you know what’s happening? This is how you know: you interview people, you ask questions, you build relationships with people who know more than you do, you keep an open mind. The full truth is always more complex and messy and fascinating than the headline. But most of all, you listen.

Shorthand at #WellTold

Well Told is the first conference of its kind in the UK. On 27 & 28 May, two days were dedicated to the rise of longform and narrative journalism in London. Over 48 hours, across two venues, plenty of tips, examples, inspiration and, of course... powerful stories were shared among the 100+ delegates of journalists, authors, etc. Well Told is the brainchild of Giles Wilson, former founding editor of the BBC News Magazine - where he led the introduction of longer form immersive articles, such as

The big challenges of special projects

As audience consumption habits continue to evolve as the digital media industry grows, newsrooms have been experimenting with bold new projects to engage audiences. A selection of these special projects were the topic of discussion at the newsrewired digital journalism conference on 8 February, where delegates heard about The Guardian’s VR immersive experience 6×9, Quartz’s 25 days of exchange, and The Financial Times's Seven robots you need to know. But what are the challenges of producing su

The coronavirus crisis will eventually end, but the distributed newsroom is here to stay

Over the past few weeks, social distancing policies and travel restrictions to limit the spread of COVID-19 came into force in countries across the globe, impacting billions — journalists included. Almost overnight, news publishers had to find a new way of functioning that didn’t revolve around physical newsrooms. To add to the pressure, many newsrooms are simultaneously facing an existential financial crisis of lost advertising revenue and subscription revenue at risk from a global recession, r
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A doubly stochastic rainfall model with exponentially decaying pulses

In this section, we start off our analysis with a model that allows the pulse lifetime to vary, while keeping the exponential distribution for initial pulse depth. One way to do this is to take the pulse lifetime d as a random variable with a specified distribution. Another approach is to take d as a parameter of the model and seek to estimate it from the data, along with other parameters. We take this second approach in this paper. When d is taken as a parameter, the expressions (4) to (6) for

A warning to markets over the exit poll

A warning to markets over the exit poll Sterling traders could be at risk of getting ahead of themselves if they respond too aggressively to tonight’s exit poll, which may be less precise than in recent years, leading academics have warned. Overconfidence in the exit poll, due to be released at 10pm London time, may lead to dramatic fluctuations later in the evening as election results are declared, warned David Firth, the Warwick University statistician who, along with Sir John Curtice of Str

Congo voting data reveal huge fraud in poll to replace Kabila

Martin Fayulu was the clear winner of the Democratic Republic of Congo’s presidential elections last month, a Financial Times analysis of two separate collections of voting data shows, contradicting claims from authorities that rival contender Felix Tshisekedi had won the historic vote. The analysis points to huge fraud in the first change of power since Joseph Kabila took over the presidency of the mineral-rich central African nation almost 18 years ago. It is likely to embolden critics of Mr

Executive Education 2019: Methodology and key

This is the 21st edition of the Financial Times rankings of the world’s leading providers of customised and open-enrolment executive education programmes. The first ranking features the top 80 business schools in customised executive education — courses tailored to the training needs of the organisations that commission them. The second ranking includes the top 80 schools for open-enrolment programmes — courses on specific topics, such as leadership, that are directed towards professionals rega

FT Global MBA ranking 2019

It pays to be on top in the business education market. Despite a torrid year for US schools, in which even the elite institutions suffered declines in applications, the same names make up the top 10 of the FT’s 2019 Global MBA ranking as last year. There have been notable shifts in their positions within the top 10, however. Shanghai-based Ceibs (China Europe International Business School) rises to fifth, up from eighth in 2018, making it the highest placed Chinese school to date. Harvard Busi

FT Masters in Management Ranking 2019: analysis

The masters in management is a rare example of growing demand in today’s subdued global business education market. Applications to MiM programmes around the world rose almost 3 per cent last year, while MBA demand was flat, according to the Graduate Management Admission Council (GMAC). Masters in management courses are also performing better than other specialist masters degrees, such as those focused purely on accountancy or finance. Demand for all specialist business masters degree programmes

HEC takes top spot in FT Executive MBA Ranking 2019

In this year’s Financial Times executive MBA ranking, HEC Paris takes the top spot, up from sixth place last year, helped by the career progress and work experience of the graduates surveyed. There is little movement elsewhere among the list’s top five programmes. The rankings of the EMBA-Global Asia, run by Columbia Business School, the University of Hong Kong and London Business School, and the Ceibs Global EMBA remain unchanged from last year, for example. The executive MBA is a part-time p

Parsimonious modelling of winter season rainfall incorporating reanalysis climatological data | Hydrology Research | IWA Publishing

Several Markov modulated Poisson process (MMPP) models are developed to describe winter season rainfall with parsimonious parameter use. We propose a methodology for determining the best form of seasonal model for fine-scale rainfall within a MMPP framework. Of those proposed here, a model with a fixed transition rate is shown to be superior over the other MMPP models considered. The model is expanded to include covariate data for sea-level air pressure, relative humidity, and temperature using

Voters left in the dark over money behind online election ads

Political campaign groups with no obvious affiliation to any of the UK’s main parties have bought thousands of Facebook ads in the first month of the general election campaign, in a digital battle for votes that transparency campaigners warn is too opaque to be adequately monitored. According to Financial Times analysis, these non-party groups, sometimes referred to as shadow campaigns, have spent more than half a million pounds on ads with Facebook and its subsidiary Instagram, as well as other online networks such as Google and Snapchat.
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