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A warning to markets over the exit poll

A warning to markets over the exit poll Sterling traders could be at risk of getting ahead of themselves if they respond too aggressively to tonight’s exit poll, which may be less precise than in recent years, leading academics have warned. Overconfidence in the exit poll, due to be released at 10pm London time, may lead to dramatic fluctuations later in the evening as election results are declared, warned David Firth, the Warwick University statistician who, along with Sir John Curtice of Str

Congo voting data reveal huge fraud in poll to replace Kabila

Martin Fayulu was the clear winner of the Democratic Republic of Congo’s presidential elections last month, a Financial Times analysis of two separate collections of voting data shows, contradicting claims from authorities that rival contender Felix Tshisekedi had won the historic vote. The analysis points to huge fraud in the first change of power since Joseph Kabila took over the presidency of the mineral-rich central African nation almost 18 years ago. It is likely to embolden critics of Mr

Significance magazine - Visualising the pandemic: interviews with data journalists covering Covid-19 | Significance magazine

In many parts of the world, the outcome of the Covid-19 outbreak has a lot to do with the choices people make about social distancing and obeying restrictions, as well as choices about their own personal care, such as maintaining a more thorough approach to handwashing or, more controversially, when it is appropriate to wear a mask. Those decisions will be influenced by each individual’s knowledge and beliefs, which – in turn – are shaped by the information they receive from government, from hea

Online MBA proves to be a shot in the arm for physician’s career

“And I was like, ‘An MBA? But that’s not for doctors!’ And he said, ‘Precisely’.” Pelayo de Merlo, 39, recalls the night five years ago, when his husband-to-be startled him out of complacency. While working as an anaesthesiologist, Mr De Merlo enrolled on an online MBA with IE Business School in Spain. Three years after graduation, he became the managing director of Quirònsalud Hospital, Madrid. Mr De Merlo’s medical career was thriving, but he felt that something was amiss. “I didn’t see much

German nursing home market: Five things every new entrant should know

The German nursing homes market looks ripe for consolidation – 15,000 homes are run by 6,000 providers, but the market is heavily regulated. This is what every investor or operator looking at the market ought know according to Hermann Thiel, CEO of healthcare real estate consultancy Terranus. There is huge scope for consolidation Public providers cover 5% of the market, 35-40% is covered by private providers, and the sizeable remainder, 55-60%, is provided by charity-based and religious non-pr

How does the exit poll work?

The exit poll, released by TV broadcasters at 10pm on the dot, is the major set-piece event of the evening. Andrew Garthwaite, an FT statistical journalist, has compiled a guide on what to expect: The designers of the exit poll credit its repeated success with the access the field workers have to information: they are asking voters who have already made a decision to tell them what they have just done. “In three of the last four general elections...

Masters in management data highlights gender pay gap

Delving into the data gathered for masters in management rankings over the past decade underscores the inequality in pay between male and female alumni three years after graduation — but it also highlights some surprises. Other data show the most popular and lucrative careers for alumni and what happens to graduates’ incomes when they move abroad. Three years after graduating with a masters in management, the median salary for men is higher than that for women in every sector of employment. W

Open for Business

We’ve expanded our Autocare scheme with the opening of a new workshop in Boston, Lincolnshire. The new vehicle maintenance workshop opened at Boston delivery office last month and is equipped with a dedicated MOT service area. Boston is now one of 72 in-house MOT facilities across the country. We have almost doubled our MOT capability in recent times as part of our drive towards greater commercialisation of the business. Fleet technician Paul Hartnett is excited by the new range of commercial work being carried out at the site. ‘It’s brilliant for our apprenticeships,’ he says. ‘You’ve got to make them interested, and apparently we’re doing a good job at that.’

Two more headaches for health operators looking at China

Breaking into the Chinese healthcare market is notoriously difficult for foreigners. It usually requires lengthy relationship cultivation or strong local partners to front up any deal – often both. One expert well grounded in introducing foreign investors to the market tells Healthcare Nova things are about to get even harder. We hear that without an official announcement, government officials have effectively put health provider feasibility studies on hold. Our source tells us: “We were doing

Voters left in the dark over money behind online election ads

Political campaign groups with no obvious affiliation to any of the UK’s main parties have bought thousands of Facebook ads in the first month of the general election campaign, in a digital battle for votes that transparency campaigners warn is too opaque to be adequately monitored. According to Financial Times analysis, these non-party groups, sometimes referred to as shadow campaigns, have spent more than half a million pounds on ads with Facebook and its subsidiary Instagram, as well as other online networks such as Google and Snapchat.

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Are pet trackers the next hot healthtech sector?

Pet trackers are small connected devices that can be put on a dog or cat’s collar, either to help find a lost pet, or to track its overall health and activity levels. Such devices featured heavily in Christmas gift lists this year, popular with many people who had adopted a pet during lockdown restrictions. But the category is still fairly nascent — there are no giant-sized market leaders and most companies are bootstrapped or funded only by small angel rounds. Is this about to change? Is thi

Three quarters of journalists experience lockdown-related stress

John Crowley conducted a global survey at the start of the pandemic to assess how journalists were coping during lockdown. His findings are published in a report entitled ‘Journalism in the Time of Covid’. The report urges news leaders to heed concerns from staff about their mental well-being. Journalism was in a quandary well before covid-19, the victim of technological disruption, disinformation, a broken advertising model and an inflated sense of its own self-worth. Distrusted by the public

'Something Is Going Wrong': 11 People Give Their Views On The Growing Homelessness Problem

Rising rough sleeping is a major concern, people in Birmingham have told HuffPost UK, as they shared their experiences of seeing an increase in homelessness in the city centre. Local Jonny Betteridge said he had walked past five homeless people “in as many metres” as people shared their reactions as part of HuffPost Listens, a project to go out in the city and listen to people.

'The News Has Skipped Us': 18 People Give Their Frank Thoughts On The State Of British Media

The national media has “skipped” Birmingham and most of the coverage of the area is relentlessly negative, according to people HuffPost spoke to in the UK’s second biggest city. Local views on topics like Brexit are overlooked by the London-focused media, they said, while the newspapers, internet and broadcast media could not always be trusted to tell “the truth” without “agenda”.

Uneasy, Frustrated, But Still 'Contrary': Why Birmingham Is Losing Patience About Brexit

“It’s not that I don’t agree with Brexit. The question again is, what is Brexit?” In one pithy remark, Kelly Matthews summed up the mood in Birmingham, as the UK’s exit from the EU next year looms larger than ever. With just 264 days to go until what Brexiteers dub “Independence Day”, there is a palpable sense of unease among the public in Britain’s second city, and in the wider region beyond.

Dying Homeless: Counting the deaths of homeless people across the UK

The number of people sleeping rough rose by 169% between 2010 and 2017. During the bitter cold of the 2017-2018 winter, some deaths made headlines, including that of a man who died close to the Palace of Westminster. Despite many vulnerable people being known to the authorities, local journalists and charities were often the only ones that reported these deaths. The Bureau spoke to councils, hospitals, coroners' offices, police forces and NGOs. While there is a charitable network recording in

Caliphate children: what awaits them after IS*

Caliphate children: what awaits them after IS* The terrorist organization "Islamic State" (IS, earlier ISIL) (banned in Russia by the court), which managed to capture significant territories of Iraq and Syria in 2014-2016, since its appearance, had actively attracted militants from many countries, including Russia. In its heyday, the strength of the grouping exceeded 30,000 fighters , two-thirds of them being foreigners . Among militants from Russia, who went to fight for the IS*, many were fro

Distributed Newsroom Playbook

The concept of the “newsroom” is one that conjures images of huddles of desks bustling with reporters, editors and producers working to cover the day’s events in real-time, surrounded by TV screens flashing breaking updates and the latest analytics. With the start of social distancing policies as a response to the COVID-19 crisis, newsrooms have quickly had to reconfigure as distributed, digital spaces. We are going to be working within distributed frameworks for a significant amount of time, f

The Tip Off

Welcome to The Tip Off- the podcast where we take you behind the scenes of some of the best investigative journalism from recent years. Each episode we’ll be digging into an investigative scoop- hearing from the journalists behind the work as they tell us about the leads, the dead-ends and of course, the tip offs. There’ll be car chases, slammed doors, terrorist cells, meetings in dimly lit bars and cafes, wrangling with despotic regimes and much more. So if you’re curious about the fun, complic

The coronavirus crisis will eventually end, but the distributed newsroom is here to stay

Over the past few weeks, social distancing policies and travel restrictions to limit the spread of COVID-19 came into force in countries across the globe, impacting billions — journalists included. Almost overnight, news publishers had to find a new way of functioning that didn’t revolve around physical newsrooms. To add to the pressure, many newsrooms are simultaneously facing an existential financial crisis of lost advertising revenue and subscription revenue at risk from a global recession, r

Yes, you can do media conferences without all-male panels

Since September 2015, I have been managing the programme for Journalism.co.uk’s newsrewired digital journalism event. In that period of time, Journalism.co.uk has organised four full-day conferences, and one-half day event. I have also been involved with the organisation of one event prior to taking the lead (July 2015). It’s International Women’s Day, and I want to take this opportunity to share some thoughts and some numbers about the gender balance at our events. From the day I started as

3 ways to make data visualisations and interactives work on mobile

Speaking at newsrewired in London yesterday (8 February), Martin Stabe, head of interactive news at The Financial Times, and Colleen McEnaney, graphics editor at The Wall Street Journal, shared some advice for making sure data visualisations work on mobile. Less is more • Make sure all information is available so that the narrative makes sense. • The point of the visualisation has to be clearly illustrated. If you start to feel your visualisation is becoming too cluttered, check if you are addi

7 tips for getting started as a freelance journalist

Many journalists decide to go freelance for the freedom the position can offer – you can choose your own stories and working hours, and the ability to work from anywhere you want is certainly an attraction. But having to constantly pitch story ideas to editors and to seek funding for projects can be challenging. Being a freelancer also means that often you are working alone, without the support network that news organisations can offer to full-time staff. Check out this advice from freelance r

'Adapt or die': Newsrooms amid COVID-19 pandemic - World News Publishing Focus by WAN-IFRA

Editor and consultant John Crowley shares initial results from a survey investigating how journalists are coping with COVID-19, and what the news sector might look like once the pandemic is over. The advent of COVID-19 “may well get journalism to shed a lot of old skin and proceed remade in the future”. That is one of many impassioned responses I’ve received to a global survey of journalists to assess how they are coping with lockdown. Working from home, being furloughed and having to deal wit

Community Report: Looking Back on April 2018

Hello everyone. Here's a monthly update about what the NewsFrames community has been up to for the past month or so… we've been busy! This will likely be one of the last updates before the project goes on hiatus in early June (more here and here), as we think about how to launch the next state of NewsFrames. If you have any questions about what will happen with NewsFrames after the end of May, there are details at the end of this blog post about a series of hangouts being planned this month whe
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2021: the year of Deep Tech

European deep tech companies are now worth a combined €700B, and account for a quarter of all VC investment in Europe. But what even is Deep Tech, what's special about a Deep Tech startup, why is it important that Europe shows global leadership, and how can that come about? This new European Startups report, in collaboration with Sifted, supported by the European Commission and European Parliament, shows that deep tech – including Artificial Intelligence, blockchain, robotics and quantum technology - explores the next frontiers of innovation, and Europe's place in the deep tech race.

A warning to markets over the exit poll

A warning to markets over the exit poll Sterling traders could be at risk of getting ahead of themselves if they respond too aggressively to tonight’s exit poll, which may be less precise than in recent years, leading academics have warned. Overconfidence in the exit poll, due to be released at 10pm London time, may lead to dramatic fluctuations later in the evening as election results are declared, warned David Firth, the Warwick University statistician who, along with Sir John Curtice of Str

Voters left in the dark over money behind online election ads

Political campaign groups with no obvious affiliation to any of the UK’s main parties have bought thousands of Facebook ads in the first month of the general election campaign, in a digital battle for votes that transparency campaigners warn is too opaque to be adequately monitored. According to Financial Times analysis, these non-party groups, sometimes referred to as shadow campaigns, have spent more than half a million pounds on ads with Facebook and its subsidiary Instagram, as well as other online networks such as Google and Snapchat.

A doubly stochastic rainfall model with exponentially decaying pulses

In this section, we start off our analysis with a model that allows the pulse lifetime to vary, while keeping the exponential distribution for initial pulse depth. One way to do this is to take the pulse lifetime d as a random variable with a specified distribution. Another approach is to take d as a parameter of the model and seek to estimate it from the data, along with other parameters. We take this second approach in this paper. When d is taken as a parameter, the expressions (4) to (6) for

Congo voting data reveal huge fraud in poll to replace Kabila

Martin Fayulu was the clear winner of the Democratic Republic of Congo’s presidential elections last month, a Financial Times analysis of two separate collections of voting data shows, contradicting claims from authorities that rival contender Felix Tshisekedi had won the historic vote. The analysis points to huge fraud in the first change of power since Joseph Kabila took over the presidency of the mineral-rich central African nation almost 18 years ago. It is likely to embolden critics of Mr

Parsimonious modelling of winter season rainfall incorporating reanalysis climatological data | Hydrology Research | IWA Publishing

Several Markov modulated Poisson process (MMPP) models are developed to describe winter season rainfall with parsimonious parameter use. We propose a methodology for determining the best form of seasonal model for fine-scale rainfall within a MMPP framework. Of those proposed here, a model with a fixed transition rate is shown to be superior over the other MMPP models considered. The model is expanded to include covariate data for sea-level air pressure, relative humidity, and temperature using

FT Global MBA ranking 2019

It pays to be on top in the business education market. Despite a torrid year for US schools, in which even the elite institutions suffered declines in applications, the same names make up the top 10 of the FT’s 2019 Global MBA ranking as last year. There have been notable shifts in their positions within the top 10, however. Shanghai-based Ceibs (China Europe International Business School) rises to fifth, up from eighth in 2018, making it the highest placed Chinese school to date. Harvard Busi

FT Executive MBA 2019: methodology

This is the 19th edition of the FT’s annual ranking of the world’s top 100 executive MBA programmes for senior working managers. Participation in the ranking is voluntary and at the business school’s request. EMBA programmes must meet certain criteria to be eligible. First the school must be accredited by either the US’s Association to Advance Collegiate Schools of Business or Europe’s Equis. The EMBA must be cohort-based, with students enrolling and graduating together, and with at least 30 gr

Executive Education 2019: Methodology and key

This is the 21st edition of the Financial Times rankings of the world’s leading providers of customised and open-enrolment executive education programmes. The first ranking features the top 80 business schools in customised executive education — courses tailored to the training needs of the organisations that commission them. The second ranking includes the top 80 schools for open-enrolment programmes — courses on specific topics, such as leadership, that are directed towards professionals rega

Asian business schools: key data for prospective students

While global applications to business schools have declined year-on-year, the outlook for business education in Asia is optimistic thanks to a buoyant domestic market. Nearly half (48 per cent) of the programmes in the region that responded to the Graduate Management Admission Council survey reported an increase in applications from domestic candidates this year. Some 37 per cent said applications from international students had increased. The picture is not so rosy for Australia, however. Som

FT European Business Schools Rankings 2019

Europe is often portrayed as a sort of Goldilocks porridge of business education: not too hot, like the dynamic new Asian markets, but not too cold, like the US, where demand for most MBA courses is in decline. There is no guarantee, however, that the climate at European business schools will always be “just right”. The number of applications to full-time MBA courses was up at 63 per cent of European business schools this year, according to the Graduate Management Admission Council (GMAC), the

HEC takes top spot in FT Executive MBA Ranking 2019

In this year’s Financial Times executive MBA ranking, HEC Paris takes the top spot, up from sixth place last year, helped by the career progress and work experience of the graduates surveyed. There is little movement elsewhere among the list’s top five programmes. The rankings of the EMBA-Global Asia, run by Columbia Business School, the University of Hong Kong and London Business School, and the Ceibs Global EMBA remain unchanged from last year, for example. The executive MBA is a part-time p

FT Global MBA ranking 2020: analysis

In these troubled times for the full-time MBA it will be reassuring to some business schools that traditional strengths such as the brand value of the institution providing the course still count for something. There is change at the top of the FT’s global ranking of MBA courses, but this is largely a reshuffling of the established group of schools at the forefront of business education, all of which are the best-known names in their respective national markets.

FT Masters in Management Ranking 2019: analysis

The masters in management is a rare example of growing demand in today’s subdued global business education market. Applications to MiM programmes around the world rose almost 3 per cent last year, while MBA demand was flat, according to the Graduate Management Admission Council (GMAC). Masters in management courses are also performing better than other specialist masters degrees, such as those focused purely on accountancy or finance. Demand for all specialist business masters degree programmes
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